Case Study 0016: Tower Bottom Gives Way to a Sharp Rise (USD/JPY)

After a decline, the USD/JPY displayed a tower bottom. Then the market exploded to the upside, signaling robust buying pressure.

Hourly USD/JPY chart showing a tower bottom reversal leading to a sharp price ascent

This case study examines a historical market setup observed in the USD/JPY in October 2023. It is intended for educational purposes and illustrates how specific candlestick patterns behaved in real market conditions.

Case Study Data Sheet (Historical)

  • Reference: CS0016
  • Security: USD/JPY
  • Timeframe: Hourly Chart (October 30, 2023)
  • Patterns:
    • Tower Bottom
    • Long Lower Shadow
    • Inverted Hammer
    • Spinning Tops
    • Hanging Man

1. Signal Formation

After a noticeable decline, the USD/JPY displayed a tower bottom. This pattern is characterized by a long red candlestick, which is then followed by a period of consolidation. Then the market explodes to the upside, signaling robust buying pressure, via one or more long green candlesticks.

During the consolidation period of the tower bottom, a series of additional reversal indicators that suggested an increasing probability of a trend reversal emerged. These include:

  • Long Lower Shadow
  • Inverted Hammer
  • Spinning Tops
Hourly USD/JPY chart displays a downtrend followed by a tower bottom reversal and a period of consolidation marked by a series of spinning tops
USD/JPY: Tower Bottom in October 2023 (Hourly Chart)

2. Early Market Transition

Following the tower bottom pattern, the USD/JPY pair swiftly embarked on a sharp ascent.

Hourly USD/JPY chart shows a tower bottom reversal and a series of spinning tops preceding the beginning of an uptrend.
USD/JPY: Buying Pressure in late October 2023 (Hourly Chart)

3. Resolution

The rapid climb stalled with a variation of a hanging man, which effectively signified the beginning of a decline.

Hourly USD/JPY chart showing a tower bottom reversal leading to a sharp price ascent
USD/JPY: Steep Rally in October 2023 (Hourly Chart)

4. Conclusion and Retrospective Assessment

The accumulation of reversal indicators within an overarching candlestick pattern frequently suggests that a top or a bottom might be imminent. This scenario unfolded in October 2023 as the USD/JPY displayed a long lower shadow, an inverted hammer, and a series of spinning tops in the context of a tower bottom.